The Odds of US Going Past Default Date Are 25% and Rising, JPMorgan Says
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There’s a roughly one-in-four chance that the US will hit the so-called X-date — at which the government runs out of cash — without a deal to raise the debt limit, and the odds are getting worse, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co.
“We still think the most likely outcome is a deal signed into law before the X-date, though we see the odds of passing that date without an increase in the ceiling at around 25% and rising,” JPMorgan chief US economist Michael Feroli said Wednesday in a note to clients.