Indonesia’s Population to Fall Behind Nigeria’s by 2045

The finding reflects the major population shift happening across the globe, especially as incomes change and birth rates slow in middle-income nations.

Photographer: Andry Denisah/SOPA Images/LightRocket/Getty Images

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Indonesia is set to lose its title as the world’s fourth-most populous nation by 2045 amid slowing birth rates, according to the Ministry of National Planning.

A recent survey the ministry conducted with the statistics agency indicates Indonesia’s population growth will slow to 0.4% in 2045, from 1.17% last year. That means, in the next 22 years, Southeast Asia’s biggest economy will be home to 324 million people, placing the country behind Nigeria and Pakistan in the demographic ranking.