India Set to Surpass China in Need for Oil as Growth Paths Diverge
- Citigroup’s Morse says China’s demand nearing “last hurrah”
- India’s population growth, Chinese EV adoption to drive shift
A pedestrian walks past an oil refinery in Mumbai, India.
Photographer: Dhiraj Singh/BloombergThis article is for subscribers only.
A change is on the horizon for oil demand, with India set to eclipse China as the most important driver of global growth — and potentially the last, as the world shifts to a greener future.
A swelling population, which has likely already surpassed that of China, will help to underpin that growth along with consumption trends. India’s transition from traditional gasoline and diesel-fueled transport is expected to lag other regions, whereas China’s adoption of electric vehicles is skyrocketing.