Australia Raises Inflation, Wages Outlook, Sees Higher Rates

  • RBA forecasts based on cash rate peaking at 3.75% this year
  • Central bank wary of wage-price spiral risk, watching closely

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) building in Sydney.

Photographer: Brent Lewin/Bloomberg
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Australia’s central bank boosted its forecast for core inflation this year and is trying to ensure the economy avoids a wage-price spiral, underscoring the need for even higher interest rates.

The Reserve Bank predicted trimmed mean inflation at 6.25% in the year-ended June, up from 5.5% previously, its quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy showed Friday. The measure is then likely to ease to 4.25% in December. Wages are expected to climb above 4% in June and peak at 4.25% later this year.