The World Is About to Have More Sugar Than It Needs. So Why Have Prices Surged? 

  • Prices recently hit six-year high, risking more food inflation
  • Supply remains tight before big Brazil crop arrives in April

Sacks of refined sugar at a store in New Delhi, India.

Photographer: T. Narayan/Bloomberg
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The world should end this season with its first sugar surplus in four years, but you wouldn’t know it from how prices have surged.

Futures hit a six-year high last week, threatening more inflationary pain by increasing the cost of making baked goods, candy and soft drinks. While top exporter Brazil is set to collect a much bigger crop, those supplies won’t arrive until harvesting starts around April — and right now the market is tightening.