Euro’s Traditional Santa Rally Faces a High Bar This Time

  • Euro tends to shine in December on year-end dollar selling
  • This year it may struggle to extend Nov. surge amid headwinds

A customer at chocolate store in Brussels.

Photographer: Milan Jaros/Bloomberg
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After the euro’s best month since 2010, traders counting on a traditional year-end rally may be disappointed.

History shows the single currency tends to gain against the dollar in December. But after a surge of more than 5% in November, the bar for further seasonal cheer is much higher.