Era of Peak Yields Signals Entry Point for Emerging-Market Bets

  • Developing world primed for outperformance when rate hikes end
  • William Blair to Fidelity start making selective bond wagers

A shopper pushes a cart through the CEAGESP produce wholesale warehouse in Sao Paulo, Brazil.

Photographer: Tuane Fernandes/Bloomberg
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The moment emerging-market investors have been waiting for as they endured the worst rout since the 2008 global financial crisis has finally come into view.

It’s a combination of two peaks. One, in inflation: Developing nations from India to Brazil are reporting declines in consumer-price growth, early victories in a war that’s gone on for two years. Two, monetary tightening: From the US to UK and Europe, wagers on rate hikes that kept surging until last month are now moderating.