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Lula Could Clinch First-Round Election Win, Datafolha Says

  • Lula has 47% of first-round vote, Bolsonaro 33%: DataFolha
  • Some analysts caution race is tighter than it appears in polls
Updated on

Brazil’s Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is gaining momentum in the final days of campaigning, nearing the simple majority needed to give him a first-round presidential victory on Oct. 2, a new DataFolha poll shows.

Leftist challenger Lula would take 47% of the first-round vote, up from 45% a week ago, with the increase falling inside the poll’s 2 percentage-point margin of error. Incumbent Jair Bolsonaro held steady at 33%.