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Ray Dalio Does the Math: Rates at 4.5% Would Sink Stocks by 20%

  • He says private sector credit growth and spending to come down
  • Notes investors may be complacent about long-term inflation
Ray Dalio

Ray Dalio

Photographer: Jeenah Moon/Bloomberg
Updated on

Ray Dalio came out with a gloomy prediction for stocks and the economy after a hotter-than-expected inflation print rattled financial markets around the globe this week.

“It looks like interest rates will have to rise a lot (toward the higher end of the 4.5% to 6% range),” the billionaire founder of Bridgewater Associates LP wrote in a LinkedIn article dated Tuesday. “This will bring private sector credit growth down, which will bring private sector spending and, hence, the economy down with it.”