Economics

IMF Cuts Month-Old Forecast for US GDP, Citing Inflation Risks

  • Avoiding recession is ‘increasingly challenging,’ board says
  • Fund now sees unemployment rate exceeding 5% in 2024, 2025

Shipping containers are loaded onto trucks at the Port of Boston in Massachusetts.

Photographer: Allison Dinner/Bloomberg
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The International Monetary Fund cut its growth projections for the US economy this year and next, and raised its unemployment-rate estimates through 2025, warning that a broad-based surge in inflation poses “systemic risks” to both the country and the global economy.

Gross domestic product in the world’s biggest economy will expand 2.3% this year, the executive board of the Washington-based lender said in its so-called Article IV consultation released Tuesday. That’s less than the 2.9% it projected last month, when its staff concluded a visit for the report.