Economics

GDP Likely to Show ‘Misleading’ U.S. Weakness as Fed Plots Path

  • Projected 1% 1Q GDP growth belies solid consumer spending
  • Income and spending report to show big impact of inflation

Shoppers at a mall in Arcadia, California.

Photographer: Bing Guan/Bloomberg
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The U.S. economy’s latest report card -- featuring fresh readouts on growth, inflation, spending and wages in the first three months of the year -- is set to include a mix of good and bad marks.

The headline measure of first-quarter economic growth will appear weak, perhaps even negative, as a ballooning trade deficit and slower inventory growth masked solid consumer spending. Income gains in March were likely erased by an acceleration in inflation.