Brazil Moderates Flop, Setting the Stage for Lula-Bolsonaro Showdown

  • Polarizing front-runners taking nearly 75% of voter intentions
  • Bolsonaro gains support as former judge drops out, poll shows

Jair Bolsonaro, center, during a re-election campaign event in Brasilia.

Photographer: Gustavo Minas/Bloomberg
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Moderate presidential candidates look increasingly far from posing a challenge to Brazil’s most polarizing political figures, Jair Bolsonaro and Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, in the October elections.

With friendly fire and miscalculations, centrist presidential hopefuls are undermining long-shot efforts to give voters a “third way” -- an alternative to the nation’s right-wing and leftist front-runners. Six months before Brazilians go to the polls, opinion surveys show incumbent Bolsonaro, 67, and former President Lula, 76, capturing nearly three quarters of voter intention.