Odd Lots

We Might Be Seeing the Other Side of the ‘Bullwhip Effect’

Shipping containers are unloaded off a ship at the Port of Boston's Conley Terminal in Boston, Massachusetts, U.S., on Friday, Jan. 21, 2022. Massport invested $850 million in the Port of Boston Conley Terminal to become big-ship ready and better compete with larger rivals.Photographer: Allison Dinner/Bloomberg
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For as long as the supply chain has been deeply stressed — which is well over a year now — we’ve been hearing a lot about the so-called bullwhip effect.

Goods become scarce. Companies fear that they will be unable to have goods to sell. They start to over-order key components, just to be sure they can keep operating. This makes goods more scarce. Eventually the cycle turns. Everyone has ordered too much. Orders get slashed. Gluts emerge. Prices fall. You know the drill.