Climate Adaptation

La Nina Forecast to Persist Through May Before Fading Away

  • Odds favor Pacific returning to normal temperatures by July
  • Forecasters see 30% chance of La Nina returning later in year
A resident wades through floodwaters in front of his home near Centralia, Wash., on Jan. 7.Photographer: Ted S. Warren/AP Photo
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La Nina could linger for at least four more months before the phenomenon blamed for South American droughts, milder weather in the U.S. South and heavy rainfalls across the Pacific Northwest starts to fade.

There’s a 57% chance La Nina will vanish by July, as ocean temperatures across the equatorial Pacific lift back closer to normal, according to the U.S. Climate Prediction Center. Until then, the event that’s marked by cooler waters across parts of the Pacific will likely continue through at least May.