Economics
Inflation Trader Who Nailed 2021 Call Sees Risk of 7% U.S. CPI
- Semin Soher Power heads Bank of Ireland inflation-trading desk
- Annual pace of U.S. CPI gains accelerated to 6.8% in November
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U.S. economic growth looks set to fuel inflation that’s even faster than most analysts anticipate in the first part of 2022, according to a trader who correctly picked this year’s jump in bond-market expectations for consumer-price gains.
Semin Soher Power, who heads Bank of Ireland Group Plc’s inflation-trading desk in Dublin, is forecasting that the year-on-year rate of increase in the U.S. consumer-price index will move above 7% in the first quarter. That’s above the most recent reading of 6.8% for November and higher than the 6.3% median estimate of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg for the first part of 2022.