U.S. Economy Plows Through Covid Obstacles Toward a Solid 2022

  • Bloomberg monthly survey shows growth at 6% pace in 4Q
  • Estimates for Fed’s inflation measure revised up through 2022
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The U.S. economy is on track for a strong finish to 2021 and a solid start to 2022 as consumers and businesses keep spending despite high inflation, staffing challenges, persistent Covid-19 infections and lingering supply constraints.

According to Bloomberg’s latest monthly survey of economists, the economy will expand an annualized 6% in the fourth quarter before down-shifting to a still-solid 3.7% average pace in the first half of 2022. During the last expansion quarterly growth averaged around 2.3%.