Prognosis
Bill Gates’s Optimism on Covid Mortality Confronts Daunting Data
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Bill Gates said Thursday that Covid-19 deaths may dip below seasonal influenza levels by mid-2022. If he’s right, it will be a remarkable turnaround.
The U.S. is still seeing a seven-day average of about 1,028 Covid-19 deaths -- an annualized pace of 375,220, or some 10 times the pace of flu deaths in a relatively bad year. In the near-term, infection patterns suggest Covid mortality may get somewhat worse, not better.