Trudeau Holds Slight Election Edge, With Help From His Opponents

Quebec nationalist, right-wing parties could sap Tory support
Canadians vote Monday; prime minister seeks third term

Justin Trudeau greets supporters while campaigning on Sept. 13 in Port Coquitlam, British Columbia.Photographer: Darryl Dyck/Bloomberg

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By Stephen Wicary and Sandrine Rastello

September 17, 2021 at 12:10 PM UTC

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Justin Trudeau and his Conservative rival are nearly tied heading into the final weekend of Canada’s election campaign, leaving the prime minister with decent odds of holding on to power.

The incumbent Liberal Party has about 32% support compared to 30% for the Tories under Erin O’Toole, according to the latest daily tracking survey by Nanos Research Group. The left-leaning New Democratic Party is in third at 20%.