Prognosis

South African Economic Hub’s Third Wave Peak Expected in Early July

  • Gauteng houses the cities of Johannesburg and Pretoria
  • Daily infections account for over 60% of national total

     

Photographer: Emmanuel Croset/AFP/Getty Images
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South Africa’s economic hub of Gauteng, which includes the cities of Johannesburg and Pretoria, is expected to hit the peak of a third wave of Covid-19 infections in the first week of July, according to modeling prepared for the provincial government.

While an unexpected surge to a record 10,870 daily infections on Wednesday may portend a worse outcome, data to date show the province will likely have about 65,000 active cases from June 29 to July 9 before they begin to decline, a presentation by Bruce Mellado, a member of Premier David Makhura’s Advisory Committee, showed on Thursday.