Economics

World’s Most Housing-Exposed Economy Faces Ultimate Stress Test

Residential homes near Bondi Beach in Sydney. The statistics office estimates the value of the nation’s residential dwellings was A$7.1 trillion in the June quarter.Photographer: David Gray/Bloomberg
Lock
This article is for subscribers only.

Australia’s A$7.1 trillion ($5.2 trillion) housing market is facing the ultimate stress test -- the first recession in almost three decades -- and passing with flying colors for now.

Economists had predicted property prices would tumble 10% or more as Covid-19 swept Australia; now, they’re scrambling to reverse those forecasts to gains of 5-15% in the next couple of years. Policy makers have switched from worrying about plunging prices to being on guard for excessive exuberance.