Morgan Stanley Sees K-Shaped Recovery For Commercial Real Estate
- Bifurcated market will have winners and losers: Morgan Stanley
- The CMBS delinquency rate of 7.8% may be understated
A 'For Lease' sign outside a storefront in Memphis, Tennessee.
Photographer: Nina Westervelt/BloombergThis article is for subscribers only.
Morgan Stanley says commercial real estate will see a so-called K-shaped recovery from the pandemic, leading to stark winners and losers among holders of commercial mortgage-backed securities.
This bifurcation means that some deals will experience much higher realized losses than others, depending on factors such as bond, vintage and property type. Bonds backed by hotels, retail and offices are likely to see more struggles than those on industrial properties.