The Big Short in Treasuries Is Showing Some Pre-Election Cracks
- Options wagers show doubts over Blue-Wave election narrative
- With a Republican Senate, investors could come ‘piling back’
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Rates traders are starting to question the big short position that’s built up in long-maturity Treasuries on the expectation of a Democratic sweep in next month’s U.S. elections.
In the market for options on Treasury futures, trades emerged in the past week that wager against a leap in volatility or a major breakout in yields heading into year-end. Specifically, they benefit from 10-year rates being capped around 1%, less than 20 basis points above current levels. Some popped up Friday, after the final presidential debate.