Prognosis

Covid Hits Key States and Demographics Two Weeks From Vote

A commuter waits at a bus stop near the Wisconsin State Capitol building in Madison, Wisconsin on Sept. 23. Wisconsin had one of the worst outbreaks in the U.S. per-capita in the past week.

Photographer: Lauren Justice/Bloomberg
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The Covid-19 pandemic is disproportionately affecting some crucial voters two weeks before Election Day, costing American lives and potentially hurting President Donald Trump, who has received overwhelmingly poor grades from Democrats and independent voters on his virus response.

Wisconsin is the most extreme example, a swing state that Trump won in 2016 that now has America’s fourth-worst outbreak by per-capita cases in the past week. Florida, Arizona, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Michigan have all seen difficult stretches, and cases have been creeping back up in recent weeks.