Biden’s Chances of Winning Hit Record 82.8%: FiveThirtyEight
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Joe Biden’s chances of winning the Electoral College rose to a record high 82.8%, according to the latest run of poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight’s election forecasting model, from 82.3% on Oct. 6. He is predicted to win 352 of 538 electoral votes.
NOTE: FiveThirtyEight rates pollsters according to their historical accuracy. For the purposes of this story, the lowest possible rating for a major poll is B-. In 2016, FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted that Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote but missed with its Electoral College forecast.