Prognosis

New Covid-19 Death Forecast Sees Big Cold-Weather Boost in Cases

  • ‘Most likely’ U.S. scenario projects 410,451 dead by Jan. 1
  • University of Washington puts ‘worst case’ at 620,029 dead
Photographer: SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg
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A new long-term forecast predicts a significant increase in Covid-19 deaths in the U.S. by the new year.

Under the latest projections from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington’s School of Medicine, Covid-19 deaths could rise to 410,451 by the end of 2020. In a worst-case scenario, there could be 620,029 fatalities, according to the estimates.