Economics

Trump’s Re-Election Prospects Are Threatened by Economic Misery

  • Historically, late-term recessions signal loss for incumbent
  • Gains in stocks, home prices continue to favor Trump

Donald Trump

Photographer: Al Drago/Bloomberg
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The misery spreading through the U.S. economy is posing a significant threat to President Donald Trump’s re-election in November.

The Misery Index, the unemployment rate added to the year-over-year change in the main consumer price index, is expected to be at a record high in November, based on calculations by Bloomberg Economics.