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‘Superforecasters’ Say a Covid-19 Vaccine Is Still a Ways Off
The cautious group sees only a 63% chance of a widely available inoculation before April 2022.
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People who get paid to make forecasts say there’s only a 9% chance that there will be a widely available vaccine for Covid-19 before next April.
That’s according to Good Judgment Inc., a company that maintains a global network of forecasters to make predictions for clients based on publicly available evidence.