Economics

Trump’s Re-Election Likely If Economy Stays on Course

Models from Ray Fair, Moody’s all predict Trump victory
Predictions rely on voters focusing on economy not scandals

Predictive Models on the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election

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By Katia Dmitrieva

November 3, 2019 at 1:00 PM UTC

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An enduring U.S. expansion puts President Donald Trump on course to win re-election in 2020, according to economic models with a track record of predicting who wins the White House.