Trudeau Has a Head Start, But Many Races Are Too Close to Call

  • Nanos sees PM with 127 safe districts, Conservatives at 84
  • More than one in four remain up for grabs, pollster says
Justin Trudeau arrives in Gatineau, Quebec for an election debate on Oct. 7, 2019.
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Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s party leads his top rival in safe districts ahead of Canada’s election next week, but is bleeding support to smaller parties while many races remain too close to call, polling shows.

Seat projections by Nanos Research, unveiled Wednesday at Bloomberg’s Canadian Fixed Income Conference in New York, showed Trudeau’s Liberals are on pace to win at least 127 of the parliament’s 338 seats, with the Conservatives next with at least 84 seats. Another 95 seats remain too close to call in the Oct. 21 vote, while smaller parties are on the rise.