Yen is Weakening And Its Worst Quarter is Around the Corner

  • Currency slid an average 3.6% in 4Q over the previous 10 years
  • Yen may drop to as low as 110 per dollar by end-2019: JPMorgan

Photographer: Kiyoshi Ota/Bloomberg

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The yen looks set to end September as the worst-performing Group-of-10 currency. And those betting on a turnaround by the end of the year have the weight of history against them.

The fourth quarter has proved a bane for yen bulls over the last decade, with the currency weakening an average 3.6%, and falling in seven out of 10 years. JPMorgan Chase & Co. sees it slipping to as low as 110 per dollar by the year-end, which is a 2.1% drop from current levels.