Decline of White Working Class in U.S. Spells Trouble for Trump

  • Group’s share of population drops below 40%, Fed study shows
  • College graduates and nonwhites backed Clinton in 2016

Workers install parts underneath a semi truck cab at an assembly facility in Pennsylvania.

Photographer: Luke Sharrett/Bloomberg
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The number of white working-class Americans dropped below 40% of the population for the first time last year, reflecting demographic shifts that could pose a challenge for President Donald Trump’s election in 2020.

White Americans without a four-year college represented 71% of the population in 1975. Their decline as a share of the population is expected to continue and they will no longer be the largest demographic group by 2034, according to a blog post Tuesday from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.