Economics
Trump’s Re-Election Now at the Mercy of a Slowing Economy
- Economists polled see 35% chance of recession within a year
- Downturns have damaged past presidents seeking re-election
Donald Trump on Aug. 13.
Photographer: Justin Merriman/BloombergThis article is for subscribers only.
The growing odds of a recession before the 2020 election threaten to crush President Donald Trump’s hopes of a second term.
Though still uncertain, such a scenario would be a political gift to Democrats, who have avoided talking about the nearly full employment, record stocks and low inflation so far in the Trump presidency.