Emerging-Market Currencies Are Flashing a Warning

  • UniCredit says ‘debate is brewing’ over why EM FX is soft
  • Currencies may be last to move, most reliant on growth data

April 8: Easy Ride of EM FX Is Probably Over, Says Arkera’s Patel

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The year has been great so far for risk assets from stocks to credit, and emerging-market assets have joined in the party. Except, recently, for their currencies.

Among the observations in a widening debate on the missing gains: some fund managers highlight their greater sensitivity to the risks of a global slowdown. The fact that these exchange rates have largely gone sideways since the end of January suggests continuing worries even as global equities build on their first-quarter surge.