U.S. Recession Increasingly Credible to Top-Ranked Strategy Team

Global economic growth is being hit more significantly than many anticipate and calls for an impending U.S. recession now look increasingly credible, which is bad news for risk assets, according to Europe’s top-ranked strategy team at Societe Generale SA.

The Fed’s dovish pivot should cast doubts on how the last leg of this cycle will unfold, with investors likely to see profit warnings, defaults and increased volatility over the next 12 months, they wrote in a report Thursday. That may be favorable for Treasuries but necessitates an underweight stance on equities, credit and the dollar, they concluded.