Economics

As More Trump Tariffs Loom, Data Shows Grim Outlook

  • Beijing silent on plans for further talks after latest round
  • Risk of deflation in China amid slowdown could be exported
Even if the U.S. reaches a trade deal with China, will it last?Source: Bloomberg
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With seven weeks to go until a deadline that could see the U.S. ramp up tariffs on Chinese goods once again, the economic damage wrought by the months-long trade war is becoming clearer even as a pathway to a lasting resolution remains muddied.

While Chinese goods going to the U.S. initially held up in the face of higher tariffs due to so-called front-loading, their value slumped in the final quarter of 2018, according to the latest available data. For sales going the other direction, the crunch was more immediate. In both cases, further declines are on the cards if the talks fail to produce a resolution.