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Weakest Treasuries Demand Since 2008 Sends Bond-Market Warning

  • Bid-to-cover ratio hits decade-low as Treasury supply surges
  • Debt auctions could get “hairy” in ’19, according to Jefferies
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As the U.S. government kicks off its debt sales this year, here’s one potentially worrisome sign for traders to keep in mind: the steep decline in demand at its bond auctions.

Of the $2.4 trillion of notes and bonds the Treasury Department offered last year, investors submitted bids for just 2.6 times that amount, data compiled by Bloomberg show. That’s less than any year since 2008. The bid-to-cover ratio, as it’s known, fell even as benchmark Treasury yields soared to multi-year highs in October, before falling back to their lows last month.