Economics

Storm Effects or Not, 3% U.S. Pay Gains Will Be the New Normal

  • Jobs report to show earnings likely hit milestone in October
  • Faster gains could further unsettle markets, analysts say

A man looks over debris after Hurricane Michael hit in Mexico Beach, Florida on Oct. 12, 2018. 

Photographer: Zack Wittman/Bloomberg
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Investors likely need to get accustomed to a new normal in U.S. pay gains even if this week’s milestone in wage growth will partly stem from hurricane-related distortions.

Analysts project average hourly earnings in October rose 3.1 percent from a year earlier, which would be the biggest gain in nearly a decade and the first breaching of 3 percent since April 2009.