Economics

Powell Wants ‘Real Economy’ to Guide Fed

  • Fed chair’s style is more like Greenspan than Bernanke, Yellen
  • Fed policy may be more nimble, but a little less predictable
Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Larry Summers says he’s concerned that Fed policy may be too tight.Source: Bloomberg
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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is testing the economy’s room to run. It’s a strategy that contains both big benefits and risks for ordinary Americans and is causing excitement, tinged with caution, inside the central bank.

Take Fed treatment of one of its bedrock conceptual benchmarks, a rate of unemployment that keeps inflation stable. In June, they estimated that level at 4.5 percent. Unemployment in May was 3.8 percent. Yet with no sign of price pressures, policy makers plan to let the labor market run even hotter, with the jobless rate projected at 3.5 percent over the next two years.