China's Steady Hand Keeps FX Traders From Hitting Panic Button

  • Dollar-yuan risk reversals remain below 2015, 2016 levels
  • Markets see China gradually letting the yuan weaken: Jefferies
Lock
This article is for subscribers only.

The yuan’s dramatic descent has currency traders on edge -- but they’re not yet panicking.

That’s the takeaway from the pair’s risk reversals, a put-call barometer of positioning and sentiment, according to Jefferies global head of FX Brad Bechtel. While dollar-yuan is trading weaker than after China’s shock devaluation of the currency in 2015, risk reversals across all maturities remain well below levels reached in the aftermath.