Climate Changed

This Year's Best-Performing Commodity Is About to Hit a Snag

  • Options, renewables, low power margins could send prices down
  • Nations getting record windfall from selling permits in 2018

Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg

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After tripling in value over the past year, European carbon permits might be near a peak and will probably fall by December, according to a Bloomberg survey.

Allowances that give holders the right to spew greenhouse gases into the air have jumped more than any other major commodity this year as traders anticipate less supply in 2019. While futures could still advance 4.2 percent by the end of this month, they will probably slide 5.2 percent by December, according to the median in a poll of nine traders and analysts.