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One Indicator Says Bond Rout Going Too Fast for Stocks to Escape

  • Leuthold’s bond oscillator turned bearish before equity rout
  • Watch pace of bond moves, not yield level for market signals
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UBS Sees Monetary Policy Misstep Derailing Bull Market

It’s not how low you go, it’s how fast you fall.

That, in a nutshell, is the logic behind a bond market signal for stock investors that shows the deterioration in credit may be happening too fast for equities to withstand. The indicator, Leuthold Group’s Dow Bond Oscillator, just flashed a reading that has spelled trouble for equities before, and may have bitten Tuesday as the S&P 500 slid the most since August.