Economics

Fed's Future Tightening Fraught with Recession, Political Risks

  • ‘Nearly all’ officials see interest rates rising above neutral
  • JP Morgan’s Feroli sees Fed boosting rates four times in 2018
"Since September the markets believe the Fed a little bit more than in the past," says JPMorgan’s Anastasia Amoroso.Source: Bloomberg
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Federal Reserve policy makers have abandoned the notion that they can bring the U.S. economy in for the perfect soft landing -- when inflation settles at its target, growth throttles back smoothly to trend and monetary policy shifts to neutral.

Instead, they’re prepared to step on the brakes.