Yuan Fix Is Back in the Spotlight

  • Top forecaster says reference rate good indicator of policy
  • Central bank uses fixing to signal unease after yuan rally

Weaker Yuan Fixings Signal China Currency Concerns

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For Sean Yokota, one has to just look at the yuan’s daily fixing to decipher China’s foreign-exchange policy. Especially these days.

The currency’s most-accurate forecaster says the difference between his estimate model -- based on overnight changes in major exchange rates -- and the official reading is a good indicator of where the People’s Bank of China wants the yuan to be. The formula elbowed its way into heightened focus last week when a set of weaker-than-expected fixings spurred speculation the authorities were signaling displeasure at the yuan’s Asia-beating surge.