Economics
As Good as It Gets: Iron Ore Risks a Reversal as China Cools
- Weakening steel output, rising mine supply may roll back gains
- Capital Economics, Citigroup among forecasters seeing declines
How China's Policies Could Impact Steel, Iron Ore Markets
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Iron ore in the $70s a ton may be as good as it gets for some time. After rallying hard in June and July, the commodity may see its gains unravel over the second half as steel production in China eases back from a record pace just as global miners pump up volumes.
The robust demand that’s supported gains may fade as steelmakers start to dial back output, according to Capital Economics Ltd., which came out first among forecasters in the second quarter, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Others expecting a drop include Citigroup Inc., Sucden Financial Ltd., Axiom Capital Management Inc. and hedge fund Academia Capital.