Fed Starts to Wonder If Cornerstone Inflation Model Still Works

  • Majority of FOMC participants still committed to gradual hikes
  • Conviction in inflation forecasts is beginning to fray

Fed Grapples With Uncertainty About Inflation

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Federal Reserve officials are looking under the hood of their most basic inflation models and starting to ask if something is wrong.

Minutes from the July 25-26 Federal Open Market Committee meeting showed a revealing debate over why the economy isn’t producing more inflation in a time of easy financial conditions, tight labor markets and solid economic growth.