Forget Politics. For the Dollar, It's All About Central Banks
- Central banks more of a focus than U.S. ‘political snafu’
- Greenback drops to 10-month low for 8% decline in 2017
CBA's Haddad Sees Vulnerable U.S. Dollar
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Political gridlock in Washington is giving traders a fresh excuse to sell the dollar. But the outlook for central-bank policy is still its biggest threat.
The currency fell to a 10-month low Tuesday after Republican efforts to overhaul health care collapsed, sowing doubts about the prospects of President Trump’s economic agenda. Yet for all the focus on politics, shifting expectations for interest-rate differentials are at the root of the dollar’s 8 percent slide this year. Case in point: The yield advantage on 10-year Treasuries over German bunds has crumbled to the slimmest since November.