Bond Market's Newest Bet: Buy America, Sell Canada on Rate Hikes
- Canadian 10-year futures block trade is second-largest ever
- U.S.-Canada yield spread collapses to narrowest since October
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An unusual trade across America’s northern border is starting to become a more prominent fixture in the market for sovereign debt.
It’s a straightforward play: simultaneously purchase Ultra 10-year Treasury futures and sell contracts for similar-maturity Canadian debt. It’s a bet that U.S. bonds will outperform as the Federal Reserve slows down its pace of interest-rate increases, while the Bank of Canada appears to be considering a hike as soon as next month.