The Dollar's 'Stupidly Strong' Link With Bonds Means Deeper Losses
- Rising correlation sends greenback, U.S. yields to new lows
- Speculators build bullish euro wagers; EM may extend rally
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The dollar and Treasury yields are sinking practically in unison, in a strengthening relationship that’s reverberating across financial markets.
The Bloomberg dollar index is the weakest since October, while 10-year yields are plumbing depths last seen in the days after Donald Trump’s November election. Since his victory, the correlation between the greenback and yields has risen to 0.68 -- where a reading of one indicates movement in lockstep. The synchronized fluctuations are a contrast from the pattern seen throughout 2016 up until Election Day, when the correlation was 0.03, indicating almost no discernible pattern.