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Top U.K. Pollsters Say Theresa May Likely to Boost Her Majority

  • Bloomberg survey points to clearer consensus than recent polls
  • Five pollsters think May will win majority of at least 40
Bloomberg business news

Projection Shows U.K. Conservatives May Lose Majority

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Prime Minister Theresa May is on track to increase her parliamentary majority in next week’s U.K. election, according to a Bloomberg survey of leading pollsters that shows there’s a clearer consensus about the result than recent polls suggest.

One week before the vote, six of the U.K.’s best known polling companies -- ICM, Ipsos MORI, ComRes, Opinium, Survation and YouGov -- agree that May is far better positioned to win than her main rival, Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn. Five of the six see a majority of at least 40 seats in the 650-member House of Commons with one estimated range going as high 200.
May called the snap election in the hope of winning a bigger majority and a mandate for her vision of Brexit. While she started the campaign with a 20-point lead over Labour, the polls have narrowed dramatically, pushing sterling lower. One YouGov survey on Thursday put the Tories just four points ahead of Labour.