Gold Returns to Pre-Election Trading Range Ahead of Trump Speech

Updated on
  • Bullion is on track for the fourth straight weekly gain
  • Metal priced in euros posts highest close since September

Citigroup Sees Gold Topping $1,300 This Year

Gold returned to levels seen before the U.S. election as equities retreated and the dollar vacillated ahead of a major speech next week by President Donald Trump.

The metal headed for a fourth straight weekly gain, the longest run since January, shaking off most of the losses incurred following the surprise election result, as markets continue to unwind the Trump trade. A pause in the stocks rally Friday has buoyed demand for the haven.

Bullion has risen 9.6 percent this year as political uncertainty over Trump’s unorthodoxy, European elections and Brexit ruffle confidence. The U.S. president will deliver his first speech to Congress next week, after Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on Thursday said the impact of fiscal stimulus this year on the economy may be limited. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fluctuated, rising as much as 0.1 percent and falling as much as 0.2 percent.

“We’ve seen uncertainty of policy increased,” Jason Schenker, president of Prestige Economics LLC in Austin, Texas, said in a telephone interview. Gold “could go a little bit higher in the immediate term.”

For a QuickTake Scorecard on Donald Trump’s economic policies, click here

Gold for immediate delivery climbed 0.6 percent to $1,257.31 an ounce at 2:19 p.m. in New York, at the lower end of the $1,250 to $1,350 range frequented between the U.K. referendum to leave the European Union in June and the U.S. vote in November. The metal traded just below its 200-day moving average of $1262.12, a point which some traders may see as a bullish signal.

Measured in euros, gold posted the highest close since Sept. 23. Gold futures for April delivery rose 0.6 percent to settle at $1,258.30 an ounce at 1:40 p.m. on the Comex in New York. Prices touched $1,261.20, the highest intraday level since Nov. 11.

“The market is losing a bit of patience in waiting for Trump to deliver on his stimulus promises,” Jens Pedersen, a senior analyst at Danske Bank A/S in Copenhagen, said by phone. “Meanwhile, worries over the elections in France and elsewhere in Europe are also supportive of prices.”

In other precious metals:

  • Silver for immediate delivery climbed 0.9 percent
  • Spot platinum was up 1.6 percent at $1,025.50 an ounce, heading for the highest close since Sept. 30.
  • Spot palladium fell 0.5 percent to $770.70 an ounce.